Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.510436 0.563383 0.621232 0.689434 0.768033 0.856245 0.963397
2025-05-25 0.417323 0.488629 0.573091 0.681817 0.820000 0.992468 1.228442
2025-06-01 0.361942 0.440746 0.539333 0.674328 0.858622 1.108115 1.483856
2025-06-08 0.322893 0.404935 0.511926 0.665662 0.887981 1.210039 1.737319
2025-06-15 0.303037 0.390300 0.508516 0.686232 0.957870 1.378751 2.130023
2025-06-22 0.275446 0.361626 0.481643 0.668197 0.965547 1.451005 2.380136
2025-06-29 0.256607 0.342985 0.466448 0.664598 0.993619 1.559624 2.723923
2025-07-06 0.234501 0.317567 0.438593 0.637520 0.978231 1.588567 2.918453
2025-07-13 0.226729 0.312297 0.440117 0.656942 1.044106 1.777331 3.511009
2025-07-20 0.219420 0.306970 0.440803 0.674638 1.109127 1.978059 4.210818
2025-07-27 0.210717 0.298742 0.435997 0.682071 1.155720 2.151011 4.917076
2025-08-03 0.197305 0.282205 0.416353 0.661064 1.143577 2.193012 5.278492
2025-08-10 0.184415 0.266089 0.396850 0.639576 1.130028 2.235308 5.684837
2025-08-17 0.174674 0.254506 0.384219 0.629789 1.140067 2.338556 6.356588
2025-08-24 0.166302 0.244599 0.373648 0.622710 1.154773 2.457630 7.164253
2025-08-31 0.158557 0.235231 0.363282 0.614877 1.166547 2.572503 8.042270
2025-09-07 0.155537 0.233518 0.366149 0.633360 1.241371 2.883547 10.032010
2025-09-14 0.147625 0.223050 0.352597 0.617151 1.231439 2.945263 10.909712
2025-09-21 0.142159 0.216471 0.345650 0.613915 1.252826 3.110478 12.520246
2025-09-28 0.134208 0.205196 0.329375 0.589545 1.217578 3.084666 13.005939
2025-10-05 0.132372 0.204458 0.332565 0.607028 1.292789 3.453047 16.523288
2025-10-12 0.130394 0.203340 0.334930 0.622942 1.367032 3.850297 21.089310
2025-10-19 0.127399 0.200236 0.333259 0.629621 1.417187 4.179893 25.936219